What the Thanksgiving Housing Market REVEALS

This week’s Beach Cities real estate update covers the latest market activity across Dana Point, San Clemente, San Juan Capistrano, and Laguna Niguel. While Thanksgiving week often sees a 30–40% decline in showings and offers, online home search activity surges, creating a unique opportunity for both sellers and early-stage buyers in South Orange County.

Market Highlights This Week

  • $18M Sale at The Strand, Dana Point: Luxury demand remains strong for ocean view estates, reinforcing Dana Point’s appeal as a premier coastal market.

  • Active Inventory Drops: The largest single-week decline in Beach Cities inventory brought total active homes to only 396.

  • Mortgage Rate Shifts: Fed sentiment changes drove dramatic fluctuations in buyer activity, affecting affordability and timing strategies.

  • Deal of the Week: A high-value property returned to the San Clemente market, presenting an attractive opportunity for buyers seeking upside.

Insights for Buyers and Sellers

Even during slower holiday weeks, informed buyers and sellers can capitalize on market signals: low inventory, strategic pricing, and off-market or returning listings provide openings for smart negotiations in Dana Point, Laguna Niguel, San Clemente, and San Juan Capistrano.

FAQs:

Q: Why does Thanksgiving Day see high online home search activity?
Many buyers use downtime with family to plan next steps, making it one of Q4’s heaviest search days.

Q: Is Beach Cities inventory expected to remain low?
Yes, seasonal patterns and current absorption rates suggest inventory could fall further into the 200s before year-end.

Q: Will mortgage rates drop in December?
Current market data shows an 85% probability of a 25bps Fed cut, though labor market data could impact timing.


If you’re thinking about making a move in today’s market, you have to know how to use the current conditions to your advantage. Buyer behavior, market timing, and interest rates are all shifting, and staying informed can make a big difference. Don’t hesitate to give me a call at (949) 835-4713 or send an email to simon@sellwiththerightguy.com if you have any questions. Let’s talk strategy and figure out how you can win in real estate this year.

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